Acting on Governor Gavin Newsom’s Executive Order of 2020, on August 25, the California Air Resources Board will issue a mandate banning the use of fossil fuels in all vehicles sold in the state beginning in 2035. Most will be vehicles electrical.
This is supposed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and end undefined “climate change”. As I have repeatedly noted in The Epoch Times, most of the rest of the world has not been inspired to follow California’s lead.
But what the new CARB ruling will do is make California a two-speed society:
The upper level will be those who can afford the new electric vehicles. Like the edge reported August 24:
“One of the biggest barriers to mass adoption of electric vehicles is cost. Electric vehicles are simply too expensive, with the average price hitting an all-time high earlier this summer of $66,000. That’s disappointing, because the auto industry has always promised that prices will come down as EV batteries become more efficient to manufacture.
“But even more disappointing is the rate at which EV prices are rising relative to their gas equivalents. According to a recent analysis by car-buying database iSeeCars, prices for electric cars rose 54.3% year-on-year, while gas-powered cars rose just 10%. .1%.
Ironically, as gasoline prices rose, people switched to electric vehicles, which drove up demand, which also drove up prices.
I also talked about it, especially in my June article, “Ukraine War Sabotaging California’s Green Agenda”. I noted that green cars require nickel and other minerals now banned or restricted by the boycott of the Russian economy, limiting the production of new electric vehicles.
It’s Economics 101: Restrict Supply and Increase Demand, and it’s a double whammy for rising prices of any product.
The lower level of car owners will be those who cannot afford new EVs, or even EVs a few years old. They will be forced to buy much older electric vehicles at high prices, with mechanical problems that will further strain family budgets.
Or they’ll be forced to run the old gas-powered flivvers much longer than expected. As in communist Cuba before dictator Raul Castro, according to the travel agency Discover Corps, in 2016 “relaxed the need for authorization to buy foreign cars and finally lifted the ban on importing American cars and parts. This led to an influx of cars brand new on the roads of Cuba.
However, “the state still has a monopoly on Cuban car sales, which means prices are high,” just as California’s new mandate on electric vehicles will give the state government effective monopoly control of the industry.
Today, “A Peugeot 508, which usually sells for $29,000, costs a whopping $262,000 in Cuba. With the average Cuban citizen earning around $20 a month, new imported cars are unlikely to be part of a buying boom.
Communist Cuba: the Californian ideal!
After 2035 in California, it won’t be so bad, at first. Most older cars will still be gas-powered. Prices will increase, slightly. People will make them work, like in Cuba, using baling wire if necessary.
Sales of car alarms and other anti-theft devices will skyrocket as the value of older cars increases and parts are needed to keep them running.
According to the New York Times, “At least 12 more states could potentially adopt California’s new zero-emission vehicle mandate relatively soon; five other states, which follow California’s broader vehicle pollution reduction program, are expected to adopt the rule in about a year. If those states follow through, the restrictions on gas-powered vehicle sales will apply to about a third of the U.S. auto market.
That would still leave two-thirds of the states with no or fewer EV edicts. But many of these states might not “keep up”. Unlike California, which is a one-party state, even some liberal states have fairly strong Republican opposition parties, including New York and Illinois.
Michigan, my home state, has a Democratic governor facing a tough re-election campaign in November, and the legislature is currently Republican. The auto state is also unlikely to do much to cripple its core industry.
There will likely be a nationwide attempt by a Republican administration to ban California’s 100% EV edict and similar laws eventually passed in other states. But most of the rest of America already thinks California is a joke, and in 2035 they’ll be laughing even harder.
Finally, it is ironic that a state government obsessed with ending inequality and even imposing socialist “equity” will erect a two-tier class society. The Top Tier will cruise around the state in shiny new Teslas, while the Bottom Tier will assemble 25-year-old Corollas, or squeeze into creaky, crowded, broken down buses — electric, of course.
The opinions expressed in this article are the opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of The Epoch Times.